Samwise Film & TV Marketing Newsletter
Monday, May 25, 2026
Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu Opens to $102 Million Over Memorial Day Holiday
Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu opened to $82 million domestically over the three-day weekend and an estimated $102 million through Monday, the film’s four-day Memorial Day total. The Disney and Lucasfilm release earned an “A–” CinemaScore from audiences and carries a leaner $165 million production budget. Despite the headline figures, analysts noted the result represents the weakest franchise opening since Solo: A Star Wars Story’s $103 million debut over the same holiday in 2018. Internationally, the film added $64 million for a global frame of $166 million, setting up a complex performance narrative for Disney’s summer season.
Sources: Variety
How Obsession Became Memorial Day Weekend’s Biggest Horror Surprise
Focus Features and Blumhouse-Atomic Monster’s Obsession, directed by YouTube breakout Curry Barker, posted an extraordinary second-weekend gain of approximately 30 percent, earning roughly $22 million for a domestic cumulative total of $58.5 million through its 11th day of release. The R-rated supernatural horror film was produced for under $1 million and has already become one of 2026’s most profitable releases. Its four-day Memorial Day frame of $28.2 million, aided by a strong “B+” CinemaScore, reflects exceptional word-of-mouth among genre audiences and demonstrates how micro-budget productions can deliver outsized returns with the right platform and marketing support.
Sources: Variety
How Lionsgate’s Michael Campaign Generated 564 Million TikTok Views
Lionsgate’s $60 million marketing campaign for the Michael Jackson biopic Michael became a fan-forward playbook after the film opened to a record-setting $97 million domestically, surpassing the best-ever opening for a music biopic. Studio executives deployed “Don’t Walk, Moonwalk” flash mob activations in 20 markets globally, generating 23.4 million domestic views alone. An HBCU marching band initiative added 8.4 million views across social platforms. The campaign timed stunts to landmark moments in Jackson’s career, including his 1993 Super Bowl halftime show, and the overall social effort has now accumulated 564 million views as the film approaches $300 million domestic.
Sources: Variety
Neon Claims Seventh Consecutive Palme d’Or at Cannes for Fjord
Neon achieved its seventh consecutive Palme d’Or win at the 79th Cannes Film Festival when Romanian director Cristian Mungiu’s drama Fjord—starring Sebastian Stan and Renate Reinsve—took the festival’s top prize on Saturday. Mungiu previously won the Palme for 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days in 2007, making him only the tenth director to claim the prize twice. Neon holds North American, UK, Australian, and New Zealand rights. Under new Academy eligibility rules, Palme d’Or winners receive automatic Oscar qualification, immediately positioning Fjord for a 2027 campaign—following Neon’s Anora, which won five Oscars including Best Picture in 2025.
Sources: Variety
TikTok Box Office Lift Badge Confirms 23.5 Percent Ticket Sales Uplift for Film Campaigns
TikTok’s marketing partners program has introduced a Box Office Lift specialty badge recognizing measurement partners capable of linking advertising exposure to verified movie ticket purchases. Inaugural badge holders include Samba and LiveRamp. A TikTok-commissioned LiveRamp meta-analysis of 34 U.K. film campaigns found an average box office lift of 23.5 percent for films incorporating TikTok advertising, alongside a 21.2 percent uplift in incremental audience reach. A broader U.K. study found 92 percent of films studied saw ticket sales increase when TikTok was part of the marketing mix, giving studios a new attribution framework for justifying social platform spend.
Sources: Variety
2026 Upfronts: Disney and Netflix Lead Ad Market as AI Reshapes Television Buying
The 2026 television upfronts, held over three days in Manhattan, delivered standout performances for Disney and Netflix. Netflix’s advertising revenue is on track to reach $3 billion in 2026—double the prior year—and the streamer now counts over 4,000 advertising clients, a 70 percent year-over-year increase. NBCUniversal’s presentation drew criticism for padding despite ordinarily winning talent. AI-powered ad formats, programmatic tools, and sports rights dominated all presentations. Every presenting company except Warner Bros. Discovery holds NFL rights; the upcoming FIFA World Cup also featured prominently across multiple pitches as a premium live inventory opportunity.
Sources: Deadline
Emmy FYC Season Enters Final Sprint as Eligibility Closes May 31
The 2026 Emmy For Your Consideration season is entering its final stretch, with eligibility closing May 31 and nominations voting running June 11 through June 22. The 78th Emmy Awards will air on NBC and stream on Peacock on September 14. Netflix leads projections with an estimated 64 nominations, followed by HBO Max with 59 and Apple TV+ with 43. Paramount+’s The Madison has launched farm-to-table FYC activations at New York’s Awards HQ. OpenAI-owned TBPN also launched a For Your Consideration push, marking an unusual first for a tech company’s original programming entering the awards race.
Sources: Variety
Cannes Film Market Closes Strong as Netflix, A24, and WBD Score Top Acquisitions
The 2026 Marché du Film at Cannes closed with a late surge of high-profile acquisitions after a cautious opening week. Netflix secured three competition-adjacent titles, including director Marie Kreutzer’s Gentle Monster starring Léa Seydoux. A24 acquired worldwide rights to Jordan Firstman’s comedy Club Kid for a reported $17 million following a competitive bidding war. Warner Bros. Discovery’s specialty label Clockworks entered exclusive talks for Park Chan-wook’s revenge western The Brigands of Rattlecreek. Amazon MGM also picked up Mimi Cave’s thriller Pumping Black. The closing-day activity reflected renewed buyer confidence after conservative early-market behavior shaped by wider industry consolidation.
Sources: IndieWire
Scary Movie and Masters of the Universe Both Eye $35 Million-Plus June Debuts
Two major franchise releases are projecting competing $35 million-plus debuts when they open head-to-head on June 5. The Scary Movie reboot—written and produced by the Wayans family—is currently tracking $35 to $40 million domestically. Amazon MGM Studios’ Masters of the Universe, directed by Travis Knight and starring Nicholas Galitzine as He-Man, is projecting a similar $35 million opening weekend on a reported production budget exceeding $170 million. Scary Movie holds a strong first-choice preference among general audiences, while Masters of the Universe targets younger demographics with a nostalgia-driven IP relaunch campaign.
Sources: Deadline
Cannes 2026: AI Production, Oscar Eligibility Rules, and Market Consolidation Dominate Discussions
The 79th Cannes Film Festival generated substantial industry debate beyond the competition, centering on artificial intelligence in production workflows, structural changes to Oscar eligibility, and a leaner acquisition environment. Under revised Academy rules, top-prize winners from six major festivals—including Cannes, Berlin, Venice, Toronto, Sundance, and Busan—now receive automatic Oscar qualification, reshaping distributor strategy at the market level. Neon’s consecutive Palme d’Or run has further intensified acquisition competition for competition titles. The Marché du Film saw cautious activity from major studios amid uncertainty tied to the Paramount-WBD merger, while boutique buyers moved aggressively on prestige titles.
Sources: Deadline
Fox Upfront 2026: World Cup Rights, Tubi, and AI Ad Tools Drive Pitch to Buyers
Fox Corporation’s 2026 upfront presentation built its pitch to advertisers around three pillars: FIFA World Cup rights for the North American tournament, the continued growth of free ad-supported streaming platform Tubi, and new AI-powered advertising tools. Late-night host James Corden featured in the presentation, which also unveiled a Baywatch remake among new scripted programming. Tubi has been repositioned as a centerpiece of Fox’s advertising strategy rather than a supplementary property. The World Cup, co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, represents Fox’s largest single live sports inventory opportunity since acquiring broadcast rights, drawing significant upfront commitments from major brand advertisers.
Sources: Adweek
Summer 2026 Box Office Eyes $4.2 Billion as Memorial Day Frame Signals Strong Season
The summer 2026 domestic box office season is tracking toward a potential $4.2 billion total according to industry analysts, with Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu’s $82 million opening weekend providing a promising start. Upcoming releases including Toy Story 5—expected to challenge for the year’s top domestic gross—Scary Movie, Masters of the Universe, and multiple franchise entries are positioned to sustain momentum through Labor Day. An industrywide concern remains the consolidation uncertainty tied to the Paramount-WBD merger, which analysts say is reshaping release strategies and marketing budgets across multiple studios, potentially affecting the second-half theatrical calendar.
Sources: Deadline
What's Trending in Film & TV Marketing
Memorial Day Box Office Tops $221 Million Total — The full Memorial Day frame delivered $221 million across all films domestically, matching pre-pandemic holiday benchmarks and signaling audience confidence in theatrical attendance.
Cannes Awards Ignite Global Acquisitions Rush — Following Saturday’s prize announcements, distributors are scrambling to secure remaining festival titles; Fjord’s Oscar eligibility has immediately elevated Neon’s negotiating position.
AI Ad Formats Take Center Stage at All 2026 Upfront Presentations — Every major network and streamer showcased generative AI ad tools this upfront week, signaling that algorithmic creative optimization has become table stakes for premium video advertising.
Box Office — Currently in Theatres
| # | Title | Release Date | Weekend | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu | May 22 | $82.0M | $82.0M |
| 2 | Obsession | May 15 | $22.0M | $58.5M |
| 3 | Michael | Apr 24 | $18.5M | $303.0M |
| 4 | The Devil Wears Prada 2 | May 1 | $9.5M | $225.0M |
| 5 | The Sheep Detectives | May 15 | $8.2M | $31.0M |
| 6 | Mortal Kombat II | May 8 | $7.8M | $52.0M |
| 7 | Passenger | May 22 | $7.3M | $7.3M |
| 8 | I Love Boosters | May 22 | $3.8M | $4.7M |
| 9 | Billie Eilish: Hit Me Hard & Soft | May 8 | $3.2M | $17.5M |
| 10 | Super Mario Galaxy Movie | Apr 11 | $2.1M | $445.0M |
| 11 | Project Hail Mary | Mar 20 | $1.8M | $285.0M |
| 12 | The Drama | Apr 11 | $1.4M | $55.0M |
| 13 | You, Me & Tuscany | Apr 18 | $0.9M | $18.5M |
| 14 | Lee Cronin’s The Mummy | Apr 17 | $0.8M | $22.0M |
| 15 | Ready or Not 2 | Mar 27 | $0.6M | $38.0M |
| 16 | They Will Kill You | Mar 13 | $0.4M | $16.0M |
| 17 | Club Kid | Apr 25 | $0.4M | $8.2M |
| 18 | The Last Volunteer | Apr 4 | $0.3M | $12.5M |
| 19 | Hail Caesar 2 | Apr 18 | $0.2M | $6.4M |
| 20 | Wild Eyes | May 1 | $0.1M | $2.1M |
Source: Box Office Mojo · Weekend estimates
Curated by JD · samwise.agency

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